Obama +4 in Iowa, Trails by 12 Among Independents — Gravis Marketing
President Obama leads by 4-points in Iowa, 50 to 46 in the latest Gravis Marketing survey. But something tells me if Mitt Romney wins the Iowa Independent vote by 12-points like he is in this poll he’s...
View ArticleIn Iowa, Disappointment with Obama Runs Deep
These are not the articles President Obama wants to read: In Iowa, a rural state of outsized political importance, retired nurse Pauline McAreavy is among thousands eager to vote against President...
View ArticleDes Moines Register Endorses Romney; First Republican Since 1972
Winner of Des Moines Register’s endorsement has won Iowa in 5 of last 6 presidential elections. — Adrian Gray (@adrian_gray) October 28, 2012 This is huge: The Register endorsement: Mitt Romney offers...
View ArticleQuad City Times (Iowa) Endorses Romney (Endorsed Obama in 2008)
Another flip in endorsements for this paper that straddles Iowa and Illinois: Our presidential endorsement: Ready for change We invested heavily in hope back in 2008. Our 2012 endorsement of Mitt...
View ArticleObama Deputy Campaign Manager Goes On Attack Against Des Moines Register
When you don’t have a record to run on, and your attacks on your opponents aren’t working, attack the process:
View ArticleNewspapers Endorsing Romney After Endorsing Obama in 2008
When I see a major Battleground State paper changing their endorsement I have posted them on this blog. But plenty of papers beyond the Battlegrounds are also voting for change this election. Here is...
View ArticleRelease the Kraken: Romney campaign to hit the road with 100 surrogates
There are only 6 days left to campaign and following the Hurricane Sandy pause Team Romney is gearing up for a final push to close out the cycle that would dwarf any prior campaign’s effort. According...
View ArticleRomney Path to Victory in Iowa
When media outlets like NBC moved Iowa to lean Obama in mid-September I was beyond dubious. The race in the Hawkeye state looked air tight to me and I expected it to remain that way through election...
View ArticleRomney +1 in Iowa — The Hawkeye Poll
A tight race with plenty of Undecided voters show how Iowa is clearly up for grabs based on the latest University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll. Obama leads by 2 with Independents, 41.9 to 40.2: Romney leads...
View ArticleBreaking Down the Campaign Travel Math
Jame Dupree of the Atlanta Journal Constitution breaks down the final campaign stops for both candidates and looks for insights based on where they are going and maybe more importantly where they are...
View ArticleMarist, You Magnificent Bastard!
Early voting is creating a unique problem for polling organizations this year in that the results will skew in favor of the party with the higher early turnout, in this case the Democrats. This built...
View ArticleRomney +1 in Iowa — Rasmussen
The latest from Rasmussen Reports in Iowa shows an airtight race with Mitt Romney leading 49 to 48: Iowa remains neck-and-neck in the closing days of Election 2012, with Mitt Romney now showing a...
View ArticleRepublicans Erase Obama Early Vote Advantage
Apologies to everyone, but I’m working remotely (again). The lower Manhattan Verizon network is down so my home computer is useless. Even my much delayed wrap up of Clark County, Nevada is on hold....
View ArticleIowa Early Vote
Trying to drill down on Romney’s standing with Independents versus Bush’s standing at the same point, but this is a good sign: I’m hearing that Bush lost Iowa Independents by 1-point while in Iowa...
View ArticleGOTV Raw Meat for the Converted
Here is the memo from the RNC’s Rick Wiley on tomorrow’s Get Out the Vote designed to bury the Obama machine Enjoy: [W]e are poised to blow the Obama campaign out on Election Day thanks to a superior...
View ArticleElectoral Vote Prediction: What Will Happen Tomorrow?
About one week after this blog began its 5+ month odyssey (when I still could not walk and ate pain killers like they were candy) I wrote: “If the poll shows the Democrat with a slight lead, it’s tied....
View Article8 Battleground Counties to Decide the Election
Addendum: This is a re-post from September 20 that I think has held up pretty well. The biggest difference I’d say is Florida is almost certainly out of reach for Obama so look at Scott County, Iowa...
View ArticleTeam Romney Thinking on Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin and New Hampshire
Robert Costa of National Review is as dialed in as any reporter out there when it comes to the Romney inner thoughts. Here is his dispatch as of 5:09pm: Romney officials tell me that they’re seeing...
View ArticleTeam Romney GOTV Excuse Making Doesn’t Pass the Laugh Test
Per usual, Mike Murphy remains the very last person the GOP should ever listen to:
View Article0.3% is the Difference Between President Romey and President Obama
A strategic shift in 0.3% of the vote changes the President of the United States. Of course it matters greatly where those 0.3% are located as Team Obama knew from Day 1 while Team Romney keeps...
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